Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Solvency II series

Dear readers

I am planning to start a series on Solvency II, where I will be talking about Solvency II as a regime in general, and at the same time would be discussing a different kind of risk based on my understanding of Solvency II directive and/or QIS5 technical specifications. To begin with I plan to put one post each weekend, and if I can find more time during weekdays, I will post more during the weekday.

Also, towards the beginning of the next year, I will begin to post my/market views on topics in insurance of general interest.

So, Watch This Space...!!

Ageas to purchase Groupama; move to GI

Despite the economic slowdown, it seems the insurance industry is seeing few actions. While the hottest news is that of DLG going public, Ageas has indicated firm plans of increasing its presence in the UK General Insurance market by confirming the purchase of Groupama's UK operations (other than broking arm) for £116m. This can be seen as a second major acquisition by the company after acquiring Kwik Fit Insurance Services two years ago.

If approved, this deal will see the Belgian financial group, formerly known as Fortis, become the United Kingdom's fifth largest Non-Life insurer with 5% market share and fourth largest Private Motor insurer.

Groupama had run into serious financial trouble after enduring losses on Greek sovereign debt and stock market investments, and this sale is a part of its efforts to shore up some cash. It had earlier sold part of its business to Allianz.

Ageas has openly expressed its intentions to expand its presence in General Insurance business, partly driven by low investment returns which make life insurance business less profitable due to guarantees attached to products sold.

Groupama's UK business employs some 600 heads, and according to analysts, some redundancies are inevitable. In 2011 GICL reported after-tax profits of £25.9m with a combined ratio of 97.8%.

Sunday, September 23, 2012

Direct Line to float

On September 14th 2012, RBS (Royal Bank of Scotland) has filed its intention to float its insurance arm, Direct Line Insurance. As a part of terms and conditions of government's bailout, European regulators have ordered RBS divest the entire insurance portfolio, whose brands include Churchill and Green Flag, by end of 2014.

The UK IPO market remains tight, with just $789m-worth of shares floated this year, according to Dealogic. Equity analysts have estimated a post-floatation value of £3bn for Direct Line, but industry experts have suggested that investors would demand a significant discount to this figure This is partly due to bank's 'forced-seller' status. If it goes ahead at this figure, it will make the biggest flotation of a UK company since Standard Life in year 2006.

Royal bank of Scotland is sounding out retail stockholders about offering shares in Direct Line to the public. Few companies that have listed in London in recent times have offered shares directly to private investors. This means that public has to wait for the shares to start trading on the secondary market. Brokers say that dealing with retail clients can be time-consuming and expensive.

On 24th September, Direct Line added two directors to its board just days before it is expected to set out an indicative price range for its initial public offering. The two directors are Glyn Jones and Mark Cotton.

Earlier on 5th September, the insurer had announced that it will be cutting up to 900 jobs as a part of a cost-cutting measure to make savings of up to £100m by the end of 2014. It is likely to close the Teeside operation, which employs around 500 people. There are also plans to cut further jobs in thier Bromley office. Notably the workforce for Direct Line had more or less stayed static at around 15,000 employees over the last two years, whereas the parent group had seen a drop of nearly 10% in the same duration.

Earlier this week, the German insurer Talanx scrapped its plan to launch an IPO, complaining of a lukewarm investor interest, days after suggesting it will float the business. It has however again made a fresh attempt to float, in a hope to raise 500M EUROS compared to initial target of 700M EUROS.



Disclaimer: Any information provided in my blog posts is picked from different sources coming out of an internet search, and particularly Financial Times (http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/caddf264-fdc4-11e1-9901-00144feabdc0.html#axzz27I6EEZwW).

Saturday, October 29, 2011

On a personal note...

It is with immense pleasure I share the news of my exam qualifiying! Long-awaited dream comes true. Just waiting to complete three years of work based skills when I will be fully qualified - FIA.

After a temporary break due to my exams, I am now back to blogging again with the latest in the industry.

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

2010 Nat Cats, Disasters Cost $218 Bn – $43 Bn Insured; Says Swiss Re

According to Swiss Re’s latest sigma study, worldwide economic losses from natural catastrophes and man-made disasters were $218 billion in 2010, more than triple the 2009 figure of $68 billion. The losses cost the global insurance industry more than $43 billion, an increase of more than 60 percent over 2009. The events caused the deaths of approximately 304,000, the highest number of casualties since 1976. Swiss Re’s study pointed out that the severe catastrophes in 2010 “claimed significantly more lives than the previous year” when 15,000 people died due to catastrophic events. The Haiti earthquake was the deadliest, claiming more than 222,000 lives. Nearly 56,000 people died during the summer heat wave in Russia, while the summer floods in China and Pakistan resulted in over 6,200 deaths. Swiss Re’s study calculated that natural catastrophes “cost the global insurance industry roughly $40 billion in 2010, while man-made disasters triggered additional claims of more than $3 billion.” This compares with overall insured losses of $27 billion in 2009. Lucia Bevere, one of the study’s authors, added: “Insured losses were highest in North America in 2010, where they exceeded $15 billion. Despite very low hurricane losses due to the absence of hurricanes making direct landfall in the US, a series of lesser storms throughout the year resulted in this high figure.” Recent events have shown how destructive earthquakes can be. In 2010 they were the cause of “almost one third of all catastrophe losses.” The February 2010 earthquake in Chile and the September earthquake in New Zealand were the two costliest events in 2010, and led to insured losses estimated at $8 billion and $4.4 billion respectively. The study also concluded that overall natural catastrophe claims in 2010 were “in line with the 10-year average due to unusually modest US hurricane losses and in spite of notably high earthquake losses.” 2011 also promises to be an “above average” year as far as earthquake related losses are concerned. Swiss Re pointed out that the “total insured claims for the February 22 earthquake in Christchurch, New Zealand, are estimated to be between $6 billion and $12 billion. The massive Tohoku earthquake that struck Sendai, Japan on March 11 is also expected to trigger significant insured losses.” [IJ Ed. Note – these have been estimated to be as high as $30 billion]. Balz Grollimund, one of the study’s authors, explained: “Although no long term trend of increasing global earthquake activity has emerged, the number of fatalities and insured losses from earthquakes are on the rise. The main reasons are population growth, the higher number of people living in urban areas as well as rising wealth and rapidly increasing exposures. Many of these rapidly growing urban areas are located in seismically active areas.” Ten events each triggered insured losses of at least $1 billion in 2010. In addition to the earthquakes winter storm Xynthia in Western Europe caused insured losses of $2.8 billion. Three storms in the US and two storms in Australia also generated losses of over $1 billion. Property claims from the BP Deepwater Horizon explosion in the Gulf of Mexico are estimated at $1 billion. However Swiss Re pointed out that “given the complexity of the claims, the latter figure is still subject to substantial uncertainty. The overall insurance loss is higher, as liability losses are not included in the sigma numbers.” While the $43 billion paid by the insurance industry is a substantial figure, it’s less than 20 percent of the total worldwide economic losses from natural and man-made catastrophes in 2010. “Asia was the hardest-hit region with total damages of approximately $75 billion,” said the study. “Pakistan and several large regions in China experienced extraordinary rainfall during the summer, resulting in devastating floods.” Thomas Hess, Chief Economist of Swiss Re, commented “2010 was not only characterized by severe earthquakes that ranked among the deadliest, costliest and most powerful in history, but also by a series of extreme weather events, such as major floods. Some of these flood events sadly affected countries with poor emergency preparedness and underdeveloped insurance markets. “These events show the urgent need to strongly improve prevention and post disaster management in order to reduce human suffering,” he continued. “The rapidly increasing wealth in emerging markets should also be used to address these problems. This wealth will also allow insurance to grow and close part of the large insurance protection gap in many emerging markets, the main reason why the financial protection against catastrophes is low in most emerging markets. Source: Swiss Re

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Facts and Figures

Insurance employs 275,000 people in the UK and manages investments amounting to 24pc of the country's net worth, with the ABI's members controlling a combined £1.6 trillion in assets and owning 13pc of the UK stock market.

"The long-term nature of our liabilities and the assets we need to invest in to back those liabilities makes us a really important part of the funding of the future of the UK," said Mr Otto Thoresen, the new incoming Chief Executive of Association of British Insurers.